NC Dinos captured the important first game and gained a very favorable position to advance to the playoffs.
NC won 4-3 against SSG Landers in the first round of the ‘2023 Shinhan Bank SOL KBO League’ postseason semi-playoff held at SSG Landers Field in Incheon on the 22nd. 짱구카지노
For NC, where ace Eric Peddy suffered a bruise after being hit by a batted ball in his final appearance of the season, Shin Min-hyuk, who has no fall baseball experience, took the mound as the starting pitcher in the important first game. However, Shin Min-hyuk unfortunately did not become the winning pitcher, but he laid the foundation for NC’s victory by pitching 5⅔ innings, allowing 4 hits, 1 walk, 3 strikeouts, and no runs.
In the batting lineup, pinch hitter Kim Seong-wook hit a decisive home run. In the top of the 8th inning, with both teams tied 0-0, he came on as a pinch hitter with one out and one on first base, and hit a two-run home run against SSG starting pitcher Roenis Elias, who was continuing his overwhelming pitching. This home run became the final home run. This is Kim Seong-wook’s third home run in the postseason and the first home run in his semi-playoff career. This is the 28th postseason pinch-hit home run in history.
Following a 14-9 win in the wild card match against Doosan, NC, which captured the first game held in an enemy field thanks to the performances of Shin Min-hyuk and Kim Seong-wook, further increased its momentum toward advancing to the playoffs. In past semi-playoffs, the probability that the team that won the first game will advance to the playoffs is 87.5% (28/32).
On the other hand, SSG was in danger of being upset by losing the first game at home. The teams that succeeded in advancing to the playoffs despite losing in the first round of the semi-playoffs were Doosan in 2009 (3 wins, 1 loss), Doosan in 2010 (3 wins, 2 losses), SK in 2011 (current SSG, 3 wins, 1 loss), and 2013. It was only Doosan (3 wins, 2 losses) in 2018. SSG lost the first game against KIA in the 2011 semi-playoffs, but is hoping to repeat the past when it went on to win three straight games and advanced to the playoffs.
Even if you look at all postseason series played in a best-of-five format, it is true that the team that wins Game 1 has an overwhelming advantage. In postseason history, out of 46 best-of-five series, the team that won Game 1 has won the series 35 times (76.1%), recording an overwhelming advantage.
If NC makes it to the second game, the probability of advancing to the playoffs increases further. In the history of the semi-playoffs, only Doosan-Lotte in 2010 and Doosan-Nexen (now Kiwoom) in 2013 had three consecutive wins after two consecutive losses. In a best-of-five series, the team that wins the first two games has a higher probability of winning the series at 84.0% (21/25).